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State of the Birds
Northern Parula
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Tracking This Bird In Massachusetts
Climate Vulnerability Score
Likely Vulnerable
Mass Audubon Mean likelihood of occurrence (current)
0.50
Mass Audubon Mean likelihood of occurrence (2050)
0.47
Mass Audubon Absolute change in likelihood of occurrence
-0.03
U.S. Forest Service Climate Change Bird Atlas (Hadly Hi emissions scenario)a
17.90
National Audubon Societyb
n/a
a USFS model data for Massachusetts by 2100
b National Audubon Society's Climate Change Atlas was completed on a continental scale.
Mass Audubon indicates decline associated with climate change. USFS indicates increase. Results not presented by National Audubon.
Breeding Bird Atlas

Atlas I Blocks
13
Atlas II Blocks
28
Percent of state occupied - Atlas I
1
Percent of state occupied - Atlas II
3
Percent change
146
Breeding Bird Survey

Annual trend 1966-2010
2.7%
P-value
not significant
Number of routes
10
Recent trend 2000-2010
1.4%
Christmas Bird Count

Trend (1963-2008)
0
Significantly different than zero
Trend (1963-1979)
0
Significantly different than zero
Trend (1979-2008)
0
Significantly different than zero
Habitat Usage
Breeding
Forested Wetland
Wintering
Does not winter in Massachusetts